Economic Ticker

The pulse of the global economy

Our monthly bulletin offers even more analysis of current developments in the global economy

Fed’s motivation crucial to determine rates’ path

04 December 2018, 05:39 pm

Kategorien: Forex, Inflation/Deflation, Interest rates, Markets, Monetary Policy, Treasuries, US, US-Dollar

It’s the governors, mind – Part II

This year’s midterms are only a week away – hence, it’s time for the second part of our analysis of those often overlooked elections, the races for the individual states’ governor’s mansions (see last week’s instalment if you haven’t already, too).

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29 October 2018, 11:30 am

Kategorien: Midterms 2018, US

It’s the governors, mind – Part I

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It is a remarkable, recurring feature of American elections: House, Senate, and of course, Presidential races get all the attention when in fact, many of the day-to-day policies relevant for households and businesses are made elsewhere: In the governor mansions and, to a somewhat lesser extent, the state houses.

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22 October 2018, 12:29 pm

Kategorien: Midterms 2018, US

Shadow lenders add to Indian financial risks

They are of peculiar relevance as much as imminence for the Indian economy: Non-financial or shadow lenders are the country’s backbone of infrastructure investment. Now these very institutions have slid into trouble.

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25 September 2018, 11:39 am

Kategorien: Asia, BRICS, Commonwealth, Debt, Emerging Markets, India

UK economy enters its hitherto most nervous phase and suffers first blows

Ouch! Yesterday’s manufacturing PMI numbers for the UK have confirmed the bleak projection of our UKES in the worst possible manner.

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Brand-new: SiNGES-updates as podcasts!

As of this June, updates of the SiNGES, our one-stop economic indicator for Singapore, will be available as podcasts, too.

Here’s the first edition:

Westminster Brexit procedures have heightened risk of no deal-Brexit

The confusion about Brexit has just become considerably greater. Yes, the government has survived voting on the amendments to its EU Withdrawal Bill without a formal defeat. Yet that was achieved only at the price of an increased danger of the Prime Minister’s eventual downfall later on by aggravating the factional infighting in the Tory party.

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13 June 2018, 06:15 pm

Kategorien: Brexit, UK

Hong Kong retail sales with mighty bounce, finally confirming recent positive trend

All over the months in between 2011-2015, retail sales growth in Hong Kong lost steam continuously, falling to a multi-year low of almost -20 per cent year-on-year at the beginning of 2016. Once among the stars of retail hot spots, the city state lost out to direct competitors such as Singapore as much as upcoming cities in Asia and the Gulf states.

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Savings glut is a fallacy not to prevent yields from rising further

The US Treasury 10-year yield has hit three per cent finally, and investors as well as businesses and governments wonder whether it will rise further. Pro and con Arguments are exchanged with increased velocity as some fear the end of the decades-old bonds bull market has arrived. Well, it would appear it has indeed.

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Steep increase of South Korean minimum wage threatens to become counterproductive

Lately, the Korean minimum wage has become a bone of contention. Its increase of some 16 per cent to Won7,530 this year has been frowned at by economists and small businesses; in 2020, it is set to rise by yet a further, whopping 30 per cent plus.

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28 March 2018, 06:08 pm

Kategorien: Asia, Business confidence, Consumption, Growth, Income, Productivity, Retail & Services