Economic Ticker

The pulse of the global economy

Our monthly bulletin offers even more analysis of current developments in the global economy

US Small Business Sentiment sours markedly

Helpful though they might have been, Donald Trump’s tax cuts not only have begun to wear off – his simultaneous trade spat with China and his readiness to plunge the federal government into as many shutdowns as it takes to get the funding for his pet border wall project have started to leave their marks on the US economy, too.

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12 February 2019, 12:49 pm

Kategorien: Business confidence, Exports, Growth, US

Attempt to reopen Brexit negotiations makes no-deal Brexit near certain

It is a metaphor often mentioned in relation to yesterday evening’s voting in the Commons: the unicorn. And it is an apt choice. For the fairy-tale qualities of that mythical creature exactly mirror the qualities of the decision MPs have taken with regard to the amendments to the Withdrawal Agreement with the EU.

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30 January 2019, 02:33 pm

Kategorien: Brexit, Commonwealth, Europe, Forex, GBP, Markets, Sterling, UK

Fed’s motivation crucial to determine rates’ path

04 December 2018, 05:39 pm

Kategorien: Forex, Inflation/Deflation, Interest rates, Markets, Monetary Policy, Treasuries, US, US-Dollar

It’s the governors, mind – Part II

This year’s midterms are only a week away – hence, it’s time for the second part of our analysis of those often overlooked elections, the races for the individual states’ governor’s mansions (see last week’s instalment if you haven’t already, too).

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29 October 2018, 11:30 am

Kategorien: Midterms 2018, US

It’s the governors, mind – Part I

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It is a remarkable, recurring feature of American elections: House, Senate, and of course, Presidential races get all the attention when in fact, many of the day-to-day policies relevant for households and businesses are made elsewhere: In the governor mansions and, to a somewhat lesser extent, the state houses.

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22 October 2018, 12:29 pm

Kategorien: Midterms 2018, US

Shadow lenders add to Indian financial risks

They are of peculiar relevance as much as imminence for the Indian economy: Non-financial or shadow lenders are the country’s backbone of infrastructure investment. Now these very institutions have slid into trouble.

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25 September 2018, 11:39 am

Kategorien: Asia, BRICS, Commonwealth, Debt, Emerging Markets, India

UK economy enters its hitherto most nervous phase and suffers first blows

Ouch! Yesterday’s manufacturing PMI numbers for the UK have confirmed the bleak projection of our UKES in the worst possible manner.

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Brand-new: SiNGES updates as podcasts!

As of this June, updates of the SiNGES, our one-stop economic indicator for Singapore, will be available as podcasts, too.

Here’s the first edition:

Westminster Brexit procedures have heightened risk of no-deal Brexit

The confusion about Brexit has just become considerably greater. Yes, the government has survived voting on the amendments to its EU Withdrawal Bill without a formal defeat. Yet that was achieved only at the price of an increased danger of the Prime Minister’s eventual downfall later on by aggravating the factional infighting in the Tory party.

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13 June 2018, 06:15 pm

Kategorien: Brexit, UK

Hong Kong retail sales with mighty bounce, finally confirming recent positive trend

All over the months in between 2011-2015, retail sales growth in Hong Kong lost steam continuously, falling to a multi-year low of almost -20 per cent year-on-year at the beginning of 2016. Once among the stars of retail hot spots, the city state lost out to direct competitors such as Singapore as much as upcoming cities in Asia and the Gulf states.

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