Economic Ticker

The pulse of the global economy

The archive of our monthly bulletin offers even more analysis throughout the global economy

A contested US presidential election is the most likely outcome

The three US election scenarios offered by our esteemed colleagues over at ING Economics are plausible – yet they omit the very scenario with the greatest potential for huge political and economic upheaval: A narrow but contested Biden victory.

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12 October 2020, 03:50 pm

Kategorien: Business confidence, Forex, Markets, US, US elections 2020, US-Dollar

Brexit about to result in the business calamity we’ve been anticipating all along

07 September 2020, 11:08 am

Kategorien: Brexit, Commonwealth, Europe, Exports, FDI, Forex, GBP, Sterling, Trade, UK

Corporate debt will be where next asset crash starts

It’s been a candidate for further trouble as soon as the corona crash hit markets back in March. Yet because of the sheer volume of monetary easing ever since, all those potential “fallen angels” threatened by seeing their credit ratings downgraded have been rescued – for the time being.

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24 June 2020, 10:57 am

Kategorien: Corporate debt, Debt, Interest rates, Markets

Singapore Dollar on track to keep its relative resilience

#Currencyflash – greenback standing tall with sterling in the starting blocks and the euro in the doldrums

Forget about a v-shaped recovery and prepare for long-term disruption

Milwaukee calling – and a contested convention beckoning

02 March 2020, 02:36 pm

Kategorien: US, US elections 2020

The frontrunner’s curse: Why Joe Biden won’t win the Democratic nomination

It has become such a regular feature of the US election cycle that it shouldn’t come as too big a surprise: Long leading the field of contenders for the Democratic nomination in this year’s US presidential elections, Joe Biden stands to be burned before Super Tuesday.

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03 February 2020, 04:06 pm

Kategorien: US, US elections 2020

Yields, the euro and the greenback – our take

It is a consensus among analysts at the beginning of this year: That for lack of a substantially altered monetary policy among the G7, yields cannot but continue their downward trend or at least stay subdued. Such an assessment, however, tends to overlook or presuppose one essential factor: fiscal spending. And it’s that factor making us anticipate the opposite of the majority view.

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Dutch economy faces crucial fork at beginning of new year

So far, it has been one of the economies in the eurozone keeping up relatively well in the face of adverse developments in global manufacturing. But of late, the Dutch economy has caught the industrial flu, too, and faces a crucial parting of ways at the beginning of the new year: Whether there will be a sustainable truce in US-sponsored protectionism or not.

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09 January 2020, 04:22 pm

Kategorien: Business confidence, Consumer confidence, Europe, Exports, FDI, GDP, Households, Netherlands